Developing tropical storm shifts east, forecasters say

[UPDATED 2:30 p.m., Saturday] A brewing tropical storm that may morph into something bigger is leading local and state leaders today to urge South Carolinians to prepare for an emergency in case the weather sours. Recent models, however, show a shift of the storm to the east before it gets to South Carolina. Here’s what we know so far:

Uncertainty. There’s a great amount of uncertainty about the developing path of what is now called Tropical Depression Nine (TD9), which is sandwiched between the southeastern coast and Hurricane Humberto to the east, forecasters say. There are new indications the storm may pull to the east, away from a direct coastal hit, but rain and heavy winds are still expected.

According to a 2:31 p.m. forecast, projections “are now favoring a sharp east turn around the time the system gets as far north as the Florida/Georgia border while still more than 100 miles offshore. Based on this latest forecast, the local risk for damaging winds or significant storm surge would be lower. However, a lot can still change.”

Briefing. Gov. Henry McMaster and local officials declared a state of emergency Friday in preparation for a significant storm. McMaster and state officials had an emergency briefing 2 p.m. today. It will be livestreamed on SCETV and S.C. Public Radio.

Be prepared. Residents are being encouraged to stock up on supplies (calmly). Additionally, you should know your evacuation zone in case you need to leave. A hurricane checklist is at the bottom of this story. Charleston County’s hurricane guide is here.

Keep up with more about the storm with our friends at #CHSWX

The current forecast

Forecasters say what’s ahead for the Charleston area is one of the toughest to predict in a long time because of a variety of competing influences at work, such as the interaction of a low pressure area to the west of the storm and Humberto in the east.

“It’s kind of a tug-of-war between Humberto to the east and an upper low to the west,” WCSC Chief Meteorologist Bill Walsh told the Charleston City Paper this morning. “We are hoping the storm pulls further to the east, but it might get close enough to bring us a lot of rain and some gusty winds. Very tough forecast for sure.”

Today, look for temperatures in the 80s and the start of some showers, according to the National Weather Service’s Charleston office.

Sunday through Tuesday as the tropical storm develops, shower and thunderstorm activity should increase by Sunday afternoon. But the weather service said for Monday and Tuesday, “The forecast becomes much less certain Monday into Tuesday as the details will depend heavily on the eventual track and intensity of TD 9. The track forecast is particularly complex
because it will also be influenced by the eventual track and strength of Hurricane Humberto farther to the east.”

But if conditions change, the storm could stall or move into the coast, which likely would have different impacts. Regardless, forecasters say there is a risk of storm surge along the coast. There’s also a risk of damage from falling trees and power outages.

“The time to prepare is now,” the weather service concluded this morning. “All residents should review their evacuation plans and have emergency kits ready to go.”

Charleston County officials added in a press release, “The primary threat to Charleston County is expected to be heavy rainfall and strong winds, which could arrive as early as Monday morning.”

City Paper’s hurricane checklist

Anytime it’s clear a big storm is headed toward the Lowcountry, you should get prepared to handle what’s coming. Here’s a checklist of what you need:

❑ Water: At least two gallons per person per day for three days.
❑ Food: At least a three-day supply of non-perishable food, such as canned goods, peanut butter, crackers.
❑ Clothing: Pack for at least three days, including sturdy shoes, a long-sleeved shirt and long pants. Pack more if there’s a chance it will be cold.
❑ First aid kit, including masks
❑ Flashlight and extra batteries
❑ Tools, including multi-purpose knife, whistle, wrench, pliers, can opener, screwdriver, matches, duct tape, matches
❑ Sanitation supplies, including moist towelettes, garbage bags, toilet paper, personal hygiene products, paper towels.
❑ Communications: Cell phone with chargers, battery-powered radio,
❑ Maps (in case your phone doesn’t work).
❑ Medications and glasses
❑ For babies: Infant formula and diapers.
❑ For pets: Pet food, extra water
❑ Important documents, including family emergency contact information, copies of insurance policies, identification, passport, other important documents, bank account records. Put in a portable waterproof container.
❑ Cash and change.

You also may want to consider paper, pencils, books, games, puzzles or other activities.

Other tips

Fill your car’s tank. If the power goes out, the gas pumps may not work.

Declutter your yard. Bring in hanging plants, outdoor furniture and anything that can take flight in high winds. Clean gutters and cut limbs from trees.

Sentimental items. Losing family photos or old love letters to a storm can be devastating. Get eyes on your most prized possessions and decide what will go with you and what will stay in case of an evacuation.

Have a plan; Share it with family and friends. Talk to your family about what you all will do in an emergency situation. If you live with roommates, talk to them about their plans. If you live alone, find a hurricane buddy.

Hotel reservations. If you plan to leave town and know you’ll need a hotel, make reservations as early as you can.

Document the inside of your home. If your home gets damaged in a storm, it helps to have photo or video evidence of what was inside before the storm. Take pictures of each room to document your valuables.

For more information, visit Hurricane.SC online.

What’s being done in Charleston

Charleston officials said the city is taking numerous steps now to prepare for the storm.

“Today’s action is about readiness,” said Mayor William Cogswell in a statement. “Our teams are clearing drains, staging pumps and barricades, and adjusting staffing so we can respond quickly if conditions worsen. We’ll keep residents informed with clear, timely updates as the forecast evolves.” The city also is lowering water levels in big lakes, adjusting staffing and coordinating with other agencies.

It advised residents to: